Factors
Predicting Relapse in Patients with Genotype 2/3 HCV Treated with Pegylated Interferon
plus Ribavirin
By
Liz Highleyman Individuals
with genotype 2 and 3 hepatitis
C virus (HCV) respond better to interferon-based
therapy than those with genotype 1, but a significant proportion still do
not achieve a cure, or sustained virological
response (SVR) 6 months after completion of treatment.
Two
studies presented at the recent 43rd annual meeting of
the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) last month in Milan
ooked at factors that predict sustained response in such patients. Study
1 In
the first study, Italian researchers looked at predictors of relapse after a short
duration of treatment with pegylated
interferon plus ribavirin among patients who experienced rapid virological
response (RVR) at week 4 of therapy, as well as the response rate in relapsers
who received a second, longer course of treatment. The
standard course of therapy for genotype 2/3 patients is 24 weeks, but investigators
have explored shorter courses in an effort to reduce side effects and cost. The
relatively high rate of relapse after a 12-16 week course of treatment is the
main concern with regard to shortening treatment duration for this patient population. The
present study included 790 consecutive patients with HCV genotype 2 or 3 who underwent
treatment since January 2005 using 1.5
mg/kg/week pegylated interferon alfa-2b (PegIntron) plus 1000-1200 mg/day weight-based
ribavirin. Patients
who cleared HCV RNA at the end of 12-16 weeks of treatment but had detectable
viral load at the end of the 24-week follow-up period underwent re-treatment with
the same doses of pegylated interferon and ribavirin for 24 weeks. Results
Of the 790
total treated patients, 496 (63%) had undetectable HCV RNA at treatment week 4
(about 60% men, mean age 51.6 years).
In this subgroup,
the end-of-treatment (EOT) response rate was 96%.
The SVR rate
was 82%.
Among the patients
with EOT response, 14% relapsed after stopping therapy.
Factors that
predicted relapse after completion of treatment were:
Age > 45
years;
Body mass index
(BMI) > 27 kg/m2;
Platelet count
<140.000 cells/mm3.
In a logistic
regression analysis, only platelet count (OR 2.5; P=0.001) and BMI (OR 1.7; P=0.036)
were independently associated with SVR.
In the subset
of patients without these unfavorable predictors, the relapse rate was 7%.
43 of 67 relapsers
were re-treated for 24 weeks, and 47 (70%) achieved SVR.
Based
on these findings, the researchers concluded that, "Almost all genotype 2
and 3 patients who achieve RVR may be cured with only 12 weeks of pegylated interferon
alfa 2b and weight based ribavirin." Gastroenterology
IRCCS, San Giovanno Rotondo, Italy; Internal Medicine Hospital Canosa, Canosa,
Italy; Internal Medicine Hospital Casarano, Casarano, Italy; Gastroenterology
and Infectious Disease Ospedali Riuniti Foggia, Italy; Internal Medicine Hospital
Venosa, Italy. Study
2 In
the second study, Scandinavian researchers looked at the effect of ribavirin concentration
on SVR rates in individuals with genotype 2/3 hepatitis C. In
the NORDynamic trial, 382 genotype 2/3 patients at 31 centers were randomized
to receive 180
mcg/week pegylated interferon alfa-2a (Pegasys) plus 800 mg/day fixed-dose ribavirin
for either 12 or 24 weeks. Of these patients, 355 had trough plasma concentration
of ribavirin measured at day 29. Results
The overall
SVR rates were 78% in the 24-week arm and 60% in the 12-week arm (P < 0.001).
The median
concentration of ribavirin at week 4 was 1.5 mg/l among patients who achieved
SVR and 1.3 mg/l among non-SVR patients (P < 0.001).
For the 24-week
arm, the positive predictive value (PPV) for SVR at 4 weeks was 91% (41/45) for
a ribavirin concentration > 2 mg/l (P = 0.02).
For the 12-week
arm, the PPV was 74% (25/34) (P = 0.12).
In a multivariate
analysis, ribavirin concentration at week 4 was an independent predictor of SVR
(OR 2.3; P = 0.002).
"Although
12 weeks of treatment was inferior to 24 weeks of treatment, a higher ribavirin
concentration was associated with a significantly increased SVR," the investigators
concluded. "This
indicates that a treatment regiment with ribavirin dose based on plasma concentration
at week 4 could significantly improve treatment outcome," they added. "We
propose this to be examined in a prospective randomized trial." Odense
University Hospital, Odense, Denmark; Gothenborg University, Göteborg, Sweden;
Aarhus University, Aarhus, Denmark; Helsinki University, Helsinki, Finland; Bergen
University, Bergen, Norway; Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden
5/06/08
References A
Mangia, N Minerva, D Bacca, and others. Factors Predictive of Relapse in Genotype
2 and 3 Pts Treated for 12 Weeks with PegIFN Alfa 2b and Weight Based Ribavirin
Combination. 43rd annual meeting of the European Association for the Study of
the Liver (EASL 2008). Milan, Italy. April 23-27, 2008. PB
Christensen, AA Alsio, MR Buhl, and others. Ribavirin Concentration at Week Four
Is an Independent Predictor for Sustained Virological Response after Treatment
of Hepatitis C Genotype 2/3 (NORDynamic Trial). EASL 2008. |