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Fewer Viral Hepatitis Patients with End-stage Liver Disease Are Awaiting Liver Transplants, Likely Due to Effective Hepatitis B Treatment

SUMMARY: Trends over time in the number of patients registering for the liver transplant waiting list show a decrease in the proportion with end-stage liver disease (ESLD), while the proportion with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has increased, researchers reported in the November 2009 issue of Gastroenterology. The decline in ESLD was especially pronounced among patients with hepatitis B, which the investigators attributed to widespread use of effective antiviral therapy.

By Liz Highleyman

Over years or decades, chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection can progress to advanced liver disease and are major reasons for liver transplants in the U.S. Other indications include alcoholic hepatitis and liver toxicity (for example, due to acetaminophen or poisonous mushrooms).

There has been significant progress in treating viral hepatitis over the past decade, and infants are now routinely vaccinated against HBV (done as an adolescent if not received earlier). But many people with HBV or HCV have not been diagnosed, and a significant number of those who received treatment do not achieve a sustained response, or "cure."

W. Ray Kim from the Mayo Clinic College of Medicine and colleagues investigated whether the widespread adoption of antiviral therapies for hepatitis B and C has affected liver transplant waiting list registration, analyzing longitudinal trends for patients with hepatitis B and C and those with non-viral liver disease.

The researchers performed a retrospective analysis of registry data from all U.S. liver transplant centers, including all adult primary liver transplantation candidates registered with the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN) between 1985 and 2006.

Standardized incidence rates were calculated according to underlying disease (HBV, HCV, and other) and indication for transplantation (fulminant liver disease, ESLD, and HCC).

Results

Out of 113,927 unique waiting list registrants, 4793 (4.2%) had HBV, 40,923 (35.9%) had HCV, and the remaining 68,211 (59.9%) had neither virus.
The 3 groups were similar in age, but patients with viral hepatitis (especially HBV) were more likely to be male.
The rate of waiting list registrations for ESLD and fulminant liver disease decreased overall during the study period.
The decrease in registrations due to ESLD was most pronounced.
The decrease in registration for ESLD related to HCV was significantly larger than that for ESLD related to non-viral causes.
In contrast, there was a persistent increase in waiting list registrations for HCC.
The HCC increase was least dramatic among registrants with HBV.

Based on these findings, the study authors concluded, "The pattern of liver transplantation waiting list registration among patients with hepatitis B suggests that the widespread application of oral antiviral therapy for HBV contributed to the decreased incidence of decompensated liver disease."

In their discussion, the researchers offered evidence that the trends were not primarily attributable to changes in the organ allocation system (which tended to favor patients with HCC compared with other causes).

They noted that another plausible explanation may be that a decreasing proportion of patients are considered suitable candidates for liver transplants, rather than there being fewer people who develop ESLD.

In the case of hepatitis C, other epidemiological data do not suggest a decline in end-stage disease, so it may be that more HCV patients with ESLD are considered to be too old or to have unacceptable comorbid conditions for liver transplantation.

"The effect of anti-HCV therapy at the population level is likely to have a much longer lag period compared with that for HBV, because the regimens available to date are not uniformly effective, especially in patients with advanced fibrosis and contraindicated, by and large, in those with decompensated liver disease," the authors suggested.

In the case of hepatitis B, however, the parallel decrease in mortality suggests a real decrease in the occurrence of ESLD.

"The evidence to link this trend to antiviral therapy [for HBV] is indirect and circumstantial," they wrote, "however, there are few other plausible explanations for this trend other than a widespread application of antiviral therapy."

Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology and Division of Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic College of Medicine, Rochester, MN; University of California at San Francisco, San Francisco, CA; United Network for Organ Sharing, Richmond, VA; Gilead Sciences, Inc, Foster City, CA.

12/11/09

Reference
W Ray Kim, NA Terrault, RA Pedersen, and others. Trends in Waiting List Registration for Liver Transplantation for Viral Hepatitis in the United States. Gastroenterology 137(5): 1680-1686 (Abstract). November 2009.



 




 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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