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Predictors of Long-term Response to Combination Antiretroviral Therapy

By Liz Highleyman

The advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in the mid-1990s led to a dramatic reduction in morbidity and mortality due to HIV/AIDS, but response to antiretroviral therapy varies among individuals based on a number of factors.

As reported in the December 15, 2007 Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, researchers with the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration analyzed 20,379 treatment-naive HIV-infected adults who started HAART in 12 cohort studies in Europe and North America.

At baseline, the median age was 36 years, the median CD4 cell count was 224 cells/mm3, 23% had a diagnosis of AIDS, and 16% were presumed to have been infected through injection drug use. About two-thirds started on a protease inhibitor (PI)-based regimen, while about one-quarter started with a non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI).

Results

Over 61,798 person-years of follow-up, there were a total of 1844 AIDS-defining events and 1005 deaths from all causes.

Individuals with a baseline CD4 count < 25 cells/mm3 had persistently higher progression rates than those with a baseline CD4 count > 350 cells/mm3 (hazard ratio for AIDS 2.3, for mortality 2.5, 4-6 years after starting HAART).

However, baseline CD4 cell count became less predictive of outcomes over time.

The rate of AIDS was persistently higher among individuals who had experienced an AIDS-defining event before starting HAART.

Individuals with presumed transmission via injection drug use had substantially higher rates of AIDS and death throughout the follow-up period (hazard ratio for AIDS 1.6, for mortality 3.5, 4-6 years after starting HAART).

High HIV viral load was not a significant predictor of progression to AIDS or death.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the study authors wrote, "Compared with other patient groups, injection drug users and patients with advanced immunodeficiency at baseline experience substantially increased rates of AIDS and death up to 6 years after starting HAART."

The present study adds to the accumulating body of evidence that starting therapy before significant immune suppression - perhaps even above the 350 cells/mm3 threshold recommended by recently updated U.S. and European treatment guidelines -- is associated with better outcomes.

01/18/08

Reference
Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration. Importance of baseline prognostic factors with increasing time since initiation of highly active antiretroviral therapy: collaborative analysis of cohorts of HIV-1-infected patients. Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 46(5): 607-615. December 15, 2007.

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