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Determinants of HIV Progression and Assessment of Optimal Time to Start HAART: PISCIS Study

By Liz Highleyman

When to initiate antiretroviral therapy remains a controversial issue, but recent data suggest that starting with a higher CD4 cell count - perhaps even above the currently recommended cut-off of 350 cells/mm3 - may lead to better long-term outcomes.

As reported in the February 1, 2008 Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes, Spanish researchers analyzed factors associated with progression to AIDS or death in HIV-infected patients in the Proyecto para la Informatización del Seguimiento Clínico epidemiológico de los pacientes con Infección por VIH/SIDA (PISCIS) cohort. Based on this, they calculated the optimal time to initiate HAART, taking lead time into account.

The analysis included 2035 treatment-naive patients without an AIDS diagnosis at baseline who started HAART after January 1998. The median follow-up period was 34 months. Statistical analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards models. Lead time was defined as the time it took the deferred treatment group with an early-stage disease to progress to the later stage.

Results

Multivariate analysis showed significantly higher hazard ratios (HRs) for disease progression in patients with:

CD4 cell count < 200 cells/mm3 (HR 3.79);

HIV RNA > 100,000 copies/mL (HR 1.84);

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection (HR 2.40).

Individuals who started HAART between January 2001 and June 2004 had a decreased risk of progression (HR 0.55).

After accounting for lead time and unseen events, the researchers observed a higher risk of disease progression among patients who deferred treatment until their CD4 count fell below 200 cells/mm3 compared with those who started in the 200-350 cells/ mm3 range (HR 2.97).

Further, patients who started treatment within the 200-350 cells/mm3 range had a higher risk compared with those who started treatment with > 350 cells/mm3 (HR 1.85).

Conclusion

"Advanced HIV disease, HCV coinfection, and early HAART period were determinants of AIDS progression or death," the study authors concluded. "Lead-time analysis in asymptomatic HIV-infected patients suggests that the best time to start HAART is before the CD4 count falls to lower than 350 cells/[mm3]".

3/21/08

Reference
A Jaen, A Esteve, JM Miro, and others. Determinants of HIV progression and assessment of the optimal time to initiate highly active antiretroviral therapy: PISCIS Cohort (Spain). Journal of Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndromes 47(2): 212-220. February 1, 2008.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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