An Increase in CD4+ Cell Count Predicts Clinical Benefits in Patients with Advanced HIV Disease and Persistently Detectable Viral Load

Although combination antiretroviral therapy has resulted in significantly improved survival rates and a higher quality of life in HIV patients, not all individuals treated with HAART achieve a potent and durable response to therapy. In fact, studies show that 50-60% of patients experience virologic failure within 2 years of initiating HAART. This situation places them at risk of disease progression, development of AIDS and possibly death [1,2,3].

Yet there are many examples of patients experiencing sustained CD4+ cell count increases in spite of not achieving full virological suppression. These patients experience similar rates of disease progression and death similar to those who achieve full virological suppression. [4].

In the current study summarized below, researchers conducted an analysis demonstrating a significant, graded association between CD4 cell count increase after 12 months and risk of progression to AIDS or death in patients with persistently detectable HIV viral loads.

In the view of the study authors, this is an important finding that can help to guide clinical decision making regarding the use of HAART in patients who have advanced disease and limited treatment options. The study was conducted by Dr. Mona Loutfy and other members of the Terry Beirn Community Programs for Clinical Research on AIDS and the Canada HIV Trials Networks. Results of the study appear in the October 15, 2005 issue of The Journal of Infectious Diseases [5]

The exact mechanism whereby recovery of CD4+ cell counts occurs in the presence of persistent viremia has not been fully explained.

The magnitude of the CD4+ cell count increase that is necessary to bring about clinical benefit has not been determined. In this study, the investigators describe the relationship between 12-month CD4+ cell count response and clinical outcome in an HIV population who started HAART and after 12 months of treatment, still exhibited detectable HIV RNA. Twelve months after the start of treatment was selected as the time point for assessment, because the virologic and immunologic response to a new antiretroviral regimen would have occurred by this time.

The observed CD4+ cell count response at month 12 was divided into 5 categories:

(1) a decrease or no change in CD4+ cell count (the reference group);
(2) an increase of 1—24 cells/mm3;
(3) an increase of 25—49 cells/mm3;
(4) an increase of 50—99 cells/mm3; and
(5) an increase of >100 cells/mm3.
The end point of interest was the first occurrence of an AIDS-defining event or death (whichever occurred first) after the first 12 months of HAART.

Results

Of the 775 patients originally randomized, all but 228 were excluded; all the selected patients were treatment-experienced, had not reached a clinical endpoint before 12 months, and had an HIV viral load (VL) > 400 copies/mL at 12 months;
A decrease or no change in CD4+ cell count at month 12 relative to baseline was observed in 65 (29%) and 2 (1%) patients, respectively; these patients composed the reference group.
Of the remaining patients, 34 (15%), 26 (11%), 39 (17%), and 62 (27%) had increases in CD4+ cell count of 1–24, 25–49, 50–99, and >/= 100 cells/mm3 by 12 months, respectively.
Overall, the median changes in VL at 1, 4, 8, and 12 months were -1.08, -0.57, -0.20, and -0.14 log10 copies/mL, respectively.
After month 12, patients were followed for a median of 40 months.
A total of 81 patients (35.5%) developed AIDS (n = 50) or died (n = 51) during follow-up, with 20 patients reaching both end points.
A further 18 patients (7.9%) were lost to follow-up.
The most common AIDS-defining events were espophageal candidiasis (19 cases) and Pneumocystis jiroveci pneumonia (15 cases).
The cumulative percentages of patients who developed AIDS or died during the first 2 years of follow-up were 17.9%, 29.4%, 3.9%, 2.6%, and 1.6% in patients with a decrease or no change in CD4+ cell count or with increases of 1–24, 25–49, 50–99, and >/=100 cells/mm3, respectively.
After 3 years of follow-up, these percentages were 39.2%, 47.1%, 19.7%, 13.1%, and 6.6%, respectively.
For comparison, among the 85 patients with a VL >= 400 copies/mL at 12 months who were consequently excluded from the main analysis, the cumulative percentage progressing to AIDS or death after 2 and 3 years of follow-up were 3.5% and 9.5%, respectively.
     

The researchers’ analyses investigating the relationship between 12-month CD4+ cell count response and subsequent AIDS-defining illness or death yielded similar results. There was a lower risk of clinical progression relative to the reference group for each incremental increase in CD4+ cell count response. [emphasis added—Ed]

The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) decreased from 0.83 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45-1.55; P = .57) for those with an increase of 1-24 cells/mm3, to 0.47 (95% CI, 0.22-1.00; P = .05) for those with an increase of 25-49 cells/mm3, to 0.31 (95% CI, 0.15-0.67; P = .003) for those with an increase of 50-99 cells/mm3, and to 0.23 (95% CI, 0.11-0.50; P < .0002) for those with an increase of >100 cells/mm3. When 12-month CD4+ cell count response was analyzed as a continuous predictor of an AIDS-defining event or death after 12 months, the adjusted HR was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.71-0.88; P < .0001) for each increase of 25 cells/mm3.

Discussion

For HIV patients, the primary goal of therapy is to attain a VL below the limit of detection of the currently available technology (<50 copies/mL) [6]. However, this goal is not always attainable in treatment-experienced patients, because of the development of drug resistance. For these patients, the goals of therapy are often shifted to a focus on immunologic maintenance or recovery and delayed disease progression.

Several studies have supported this approach as being feasible for periods of up to 5 years and have found immunologic recovery to be correlated with improved clinical outcomes even in the presence of detectable viremia.

In the present cohort of 228 HIV patients with advanced immunosuppression who started a PI-containing HAART regimen, an incremental decrease in the risk of clinical progression with increasing 12-month CD4+ cell count responses was observed despite persistently detectable viral load.

Thus, the results indicate that, in cases where complete VL suppression does not occur, the CD4+ cell count response is a very important predictor of clinical outcome and that patients with discordant responses to HAART may still experience a favorable clinical outcome during the next first few years of therapy.

These findings have important implications for the management of antiretroviral-experienced patients, according to the study authors.

First, for patients in whom complete virologic suppression is unlikely or has not occurred, emphasis should be placed on monitoring and maximizing CD4+ cell count increases.”

“Second, our data provide support for maintaining patients with discordant responses on their current regimen as long as CD4+ cell count recovery is maintained, thereby waiting for new [anti-HIV] agents with which to construct a potent regimen composed of as many virologically active drugs as possible.”

In summary, this study demonstrated a significant, graded association between CD4+ cell count increase after 12 months of treatment and risk of progression to AIDS or death in patients with persistent viremia.

A 25-cell/mm3 increase in CD4+ cell count was associated with a 21% reduction in the risk of an AIDS-defining event or death (P < .0001) [emphasis added—Ed].

“This finding,” write the authors, “could help to guide clinical decision making with regard to the use of antiretroviral therapy for patients with advanced HIV disease and few treatment options.”

09/23/05

References

1.       F J Palella and others. Declining morbidity and mortality among patients with advanced human immunodeficiency virus infection. HIV Outpatient Study Investigators. N Engl J Med 338:853-860. 1998.

2.       A N Phillips and others. HIV viral load response to antiretroviral therapy according to the baseline CD4 cell count and viral load. JAMA 286:2560-2567. 2001.

3.       G M Lucas and others. Highly active antiretroviral therapy in a large urban clinic: risk factors for virologic failure and adverse drug reactions. Ann Intern Med 131:81-87. 1999.

4.       S Grabar and others. Clinical outcome of patients with HIV-1 infection according to immunologic and virologic response after 6 months of highly active antiretroviral therapy. Ann Intern Med 133:401-410. 2000.

5.       M R Loutfy and others (for the Terry Beirn Community Programs for Clinical Research on AIDS and the Canada HIV Trials Network). CD4+ Cell Count Increase Predicts Clinical Benefits in Patients with Advanced HIV Disease and Persistent Viremia after 1 Year of Combination Antiretroviral Therapy. The Journal of Infectious Diseases 192(8):1407-1411. October 15, 2005.

6.       P G Yeni and others. Treatment for adult HIV infection: 2004 recommendations of the International AIDS Society-USA Panel. JAMA 292:251-265. 2004


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