Patients with a High Pre-HAART CD4+ Cell Count Are at  Increased Risk of Immunological Failure

In HIV patients, the primary treatment goal of HAART is to suppress the HIV-1 RNA level in plasma (i.e., the plasma virus load [pVL]) to below the level of detection.

In both cohort studies and randomized clinical trials (RCTs), a lower pVL has been associated with a reduction in HIV-1–related morbidity and mortality. The results of recent cohort studies and RCTs have, however, suggested that baseline and time-updated CD4+ cell counts are better predictors of HIV-1 disease progression than are pVLs.

Discordant virological and immunological responses have been observed during HAART. Similarly, virological and immunological failure has been observed to occur independently during HAART. This suggests a complex interaction between the virological response to HAART and the resulting change in CD4+ cell count.

In the results of a previous study from the EuroSIDA cohort, older age and being naive for antiretroviral therapy (ART) were identified as predictors of a sustained virological response during HAART.

Furthermore, younger age, being naive for ART, and having a lower baseline pVL and CD4+ cell count were shown to be independent predictors of virological failure in the APROCO cohort.

The identification of predictors of immunological failure after the initial response to HAART, which may be different from predictors of virological failure, may have implications for the treatment of patients. These data have not previously been reported from a large international HIV patient cohort.

The primary aim of the current study was to investigate predictors of immunological failure after initial CD4+ response. Data were from EuroSIDA, a prospective, international, observational HIV cohort.

Results     

Of 2347 patients with an increase in CD4+ cell count ⩾100 cells/mL within 6–12 months of the initiation of HAART, 550 (23%) subsequently experienced immunological failure (CD4+ count less than or equal to the pre-HAART value).

The incidence of failure was 11.6 incidences/100 person-years of follow-up during the first 12 months and decreased significantly over time (P < .0001).

Independent predictors of immunological failure were pre-HAART CD4+ cell count, time-updated virus load, and HIV-1 risk behavior.

Conclusions     

The risk of immunological failure in patients with an immunological response to HAART diminishes with a longer time receiving treatment and is associated with pretreatment CD4+ cell count, ongoing viral replication, and intravenous drug use.

Discussion

This study confirmed findings by Deeks et al. that patients with a high pre-HAART CD4+ cell count are at an increased risk of immunological failure. One reason for this finding could lie in the difference in actual numbers of CD4+ cells at the time of failure, between patients with high and those with low pre-HAART CD4+ cell counts.

The authors hypothesize that the reason why patients with higher pre-HAART CD4+ cell counts were found to be at increased risk of immunological failure, compared with those who had lower pre-HAART CD4+ cell counts, is that the latter group of patients is at an increased risk of developing opportunistic diseases (ODs); thus, clinicians have a lower threshold for the modification of therapy in these patients, which thereby prevents or delays the development of immunological failure.

06/18/04

Reference
U B Dragsted and others. Predictors of Immunological Failure after Initial Response to Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy in HIV-1-infected Adults: A EuroSIDA Study. The Journal of Infectious Diseases 190(1): 148-155. July 1, 2004.

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