| High 
HBV DNA Level Is the Strongest Predictor of Elevated ALT By 
Liz Highleyman Over 
years or decades, a proportion of people with chronic 
hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection will develop liver 
cirrhosis and hepatocellular 
carcinoma (HCC). It is difficult to predict which patients will develop advanced 
liver disease, but elevate alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels -- an indicator 
of liver inflammation -- is one risk factor. As 
reported at the Digestive Disease Week (DDW 2009) annual 
meeting last week in Chicago, Hwai Yang and colleagues with the REVEAL-HBV 
Study Group sought to shed further light on the relationship between elevated 
ALT and HBV DNA level -- an indicator of active viral replication. The 
researchers previously showed that elevated serum HBV DNA predicts future changes 
in serum ALT, which in turn is associated with liver disease progression. In the 
present analysis, they looked at the influence of HBV 
genotype and specific gene mutations on this association.  The 
analysis focused on a subgroup of 1986 participants in the REVEAL-HBV study cohort 
who had normal serum ALT at baseline (< 45 U/L) and had at least 3 ALT tests 
during follow-up. Within this group, 854 patients (43%), representing a total 
10,354 person-years of follow-up, had an adequate HBV DNA sample to allow complete 
description of the viral genotype and the mutations of interest. Baseline 
ALT was categorized as < 15 U/L or 15-44 U/L. The researchers used multiple 
logistic regression to derive adjusted odds ratios (ORs) for risk factors. The 
model was adjusted for HBV genotypes B, C, or B+C, and precore 1896 and basal 
core promoter 1762/1764 mutations.  Results  
 320 of 854 patients (37.5%) had at least 1 ALT elevation documented during follow-up. 
 
  Male sex, higher baseline HBV DNA, and higher baseline serum ALT level were significantly 
associated with future ALT elevation: 
  
 Male sex: adjusted OR 2.6; 
 
  Baseline ALT 15-44 U/L: adjusted OR 1.4 vs < 15 U/L; 
 
  Baseline HBV DNA 300-9999 copies/mL: adjusted OR 0.8 vs < 300 copies/mL; 
 
  Baseline HBV DNA 10,000-99,999 copies/mL: adjusted OR 2.3; 
 
  Baseline HBV DNA 100,000-999,999 copies/mL: adjusted OR 4.6; 
 
  Baseline HBV DNA > 1 million copies/mL: adjusted OR 5.5.
  
 Serum HBV DNA level was the strongest predictor of ALT elevation during long-term 
follow-up. 
 
  The trend for HBV DNA level was highly statistically significant (P < 0.0001). 
 
  HBV genotype, hepatitis B "e" 
antigen (HBeAg) positive or negative status, precore G1896A, and basal core 
promoter A1762T/G1764A mutants did not predict serum ALT elevation. 
 
  The association between serum HBV DNA and ALT elevation still held after stratifying 
by HBV genotype and precore and BCP mutations.
 Based 
on these findings, the investigators concluded, "The association between 
serum HBV DNA viral load and elevation of ALT level remains the same even after 
adjusting for HBV genotype or the presence of specific gene mutations in this 
cohort." "High 
viral load remained the most important risk factor for ALT elevation regardless 
of genotype, precore and BCP mutations," they stated. "Lowering serum 
HBV viral load might be the key to prevent future elevation of ALT level." Genomics 
Research Center, Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan; Graduate Institute of Epidemiology, 
College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Research 
and Development, Bristol-Myers Squibb Company, Wallingford, CT. 6/9/09 ReferenceHI 
Yang, UH Iloeje, J Su (for the R.E.V.E.A.L.-HBV Study Group). Association between 
HBV Replication and Serum ALT Changes is not Dependent on HBV Genotype and Mutants. 
Digestive Disease Week (DDW 2009). Chicago. May 30-June 4, 2009. Abstract W1800.
 
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